Análise de modelos econômicos e financeiros no setor metroferroviário paulista

Abstract

There is a notable global effort by governments to understand their mobility networks, driven by the significant number of people commuting to major urban centers. This phenomenon leads to severe traffic congestion, increased emissions of polluting gases, loss of travel time, and heightened public health crises, whether due to stress or exposure to pollutants. As a result, current solutions for urban public transportation heavily emphasize the implementation and improvement of metro-rail networks. These systems not only offer the capacity to transport large numbers of people efficiently but also help mitigate harmful environmental impacts. However, in Brazil, while state entities are responsible for the implementation, expansion, and modernization of metro systems, public resources are clearly insufficient to meet the investment demands. The costs are high, the projects are complex and long-term, and they face social, environmental, and legal challenges for full implementation and maintenance. Therefore, it is necessary to discuss the parameters used in structuring concessions and public-private partnerships in Brazil, aiming to foster private market investment in the Brazilian metro-rail sector. Topics such as revenue predictability, legal certainty and objective risk matrix can be considered preponderant for the success of concessions and public-private partnerships.