Análise do impacto no valor de uma concessão de transporte público após adoção de medidas de reequilíbrio pós pandemia: o caso do MetrôRio

Abstract

This paper investigates the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the subway concession in Rio de Janeiro – MetrôRio, with a focus on the direct effects on passenger flow and the present value of the project. The substantial reduction in passenger demand has presented significant financial challenges, negatively impacting operational revenues, especially those derived from fares. The analysis highlights the new reality of the urban mobility market, emphasizing the sensitivity of discount rates in the calculation of the concession's value. Faced with these challenges, the importance of adaptive strategies and flexible measures is underscored, including the promotion of new public policies to increase passenger flow in public transportation and optimize the utilization of metropolitan transport networks. These actions aim to ensure the financial and operational resilience of the Rio de Janeiro subway concession in a volatile economic scenario.