Gestão de riscos e o desempenho operacional: um modelo analítico para o segmento ferroviário de cargas

Abstract

The objective of this work is to analyze risk management in the railway sector, as well as to highlight the importance of the balance between maintenance costs and operational risks in rail freight transport. The paper proposes an analytical model for risk management and operational performance in this sector, considering maintenance costs. The objective is to identify, evaluate and mitigate risks related to the safety of railway operations, protect assets and minimize damage caused by adverse events; the proposed analytical model involves risk analysis and simulation of different operating scenarios, allowing identifying the main operational risks, assessing their probability of occurrence and the associated operational and financial impacts. Effective risk management is essential to ensure the safety and efficiency of railway operations, in addition to minimizing accidents, equipment breakdowns and operational interruptions that could affect the economy and public safety.